Research - Harvard Public Health Magazine https://harvardpublichealth.org/tag/research/ Exploring what works, what doesn’t, and why. Thu, 20 Feb 2025 18:42:49 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 https://harvardpublichealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/favicon-50x50.png Research - Harvard Public Health Magazine https://harvardpublichealth.org/tag/research/ 32 32 https://harvardpublichealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/harvard-public-health-head.png The link between sleep problems and suicide in pre-adolescents https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/the-link-between-sleep-problems-and-suicide-in-pre-adolescents/ Thu, 20 Feb 2025 18:41:37 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23662 The list of things that can keep kids up at night is long: computer and phone screens, housing or food insecurity, struggles with anxiety and depression. The lack of restorative…

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The list of things that can keep kids up at night is long: computer and phone screens, housing or food insecurity, struggles with anxiety and depression. The lack of restorative sleep can have consequences more critical than bleary-eyed mornings at school. Harvard Public Health spoke with Joel Stoddard, a professor of child psychiatry at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus and lead author of a recent study.

Why study this topic?

It seemed like it was time to really prove the risk for kids. We already knew that poor sleep can be a predictor of suicidal ideation and behavior. Suicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents, who have high rates of sleep disturbance. But it’s still rare to find studies on the risk of suicidal behaviors in the transition from childhood to early adolescence.

What did you find?

We simply established that there was an association between sleep disturbance, starting at around age 10, and later suicidal thoughts and behavior. For the kids we studied, those thoughts and behaviors were not in their initial interview. But they could have occurred any time in the two years between first assessment and follow-up.

What would you like to see happen based on the results of the study?

We could give all sorts of hypotheses. But we don’t really know at this point what is causing it. I think it’s time right now to start unpacking it to find out. So, the next step is to look at lots of risk factors for long-term prediction.

—Leah Samuel

(Study in JAMA Network Open, September 2024)

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The risky side effects of CAR-T therapy https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/the-risky-side-effects-of-car-t-therapy/ Thu, 20 Feb 2025 17:17:15 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23652 Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell, or CAR-T, therapy has been a promising immunotherapy for patients with blood cancers. However, this personalized treatment—which genetically modifies patients’ T cells to attack specific antigens—has…

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Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell, or CAR-T, therapy has been a promising immunotherapy for patients with blood cancers. However, this personalized treatment—which genetically modifies patients’ T cells to attack specific antigens—has side effects that can increase the risk of death from other causes. Harvard Public Health spoke with David Cordas dos Santos, an instructor of medicine at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and the lead author of a study on CAR-T patients who have died from other causes (called non-relapse mortality).

Why study this topic?

There has not been a comprehensive study of CAR-T cell therapy that calculates overall non-relapse mortality. If we can learn the cause of adverse events, what does that mean for patients and how can we use that information in the clinic?

What did you find?

We found the non-relapse mortality rate for patients with lymphoma and multiple myeloma one year after treatment was about 6.8 percent, which was higher than we expected. We identified 7,604 patients across 46 studies published through March 2024.

More than half of the patients died from infections. We looked for specific pathogens, and most of the known infection-related deaths reported were listed as caused by COVID-19. However, about two-thirds of the pathogens were not identified or not reported.

The second most common cause was death from a secondary malignancy, so another cancer had developed.

What would you like to see happen based on the study’s results?

We would like to see improved guidelines for clinicians who have patients on CAR-T cell treatment and raise awareness about the risk of infections and secondary malignancies. There also can be better patient education; if you have a fever, call your doctor immediately. We asked researchers to report these deaths in more detail in the future. Now we see that studies are starting to report this.

—Sarah Muthler

(Study in Nature Medicine, July 2024)

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U.S. life expectancy gap widens https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/u-s-life-expectancy-gap-widens/ Thu, 13 Feb 2025 18:27:15 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23560 Researchers found that the gap in life expectancy has increased over the past two decades across racial, ethnic, and socio-economic groups in the United States. Harvard Public Health spoke with…

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Researchers found that the gap in life expectancy has increased over the past two decades across racial, ethnic, and socio-economic groups in the United States. Harvard Public Health spoke with lead author Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, associate professor of health metrics sciences at the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington.

Why study this topic?

The United States has health disparities along many different dimensions. About 20 years ago, a paper called “Eight Americas” approached this problem by studying groups of people in the U.S. based on where they lived, their racial identity, and their income. We wanted to revive that approach and look at how life expectancy disparities have evolved since 2000.

What did you find?

We had about a 13-year gap in life expectancy across the U.S. groupings in 2000, and by 2010, that gap had grown, spanning 71.2 years to 85.2 years. The decade from 2010 to 2019 was not good for life expectancy in the United States. It really stagnated. In the end, the gap spanned almost 16 years, from 70.2 to 86 years. American Indian and Alaska Native populations had the shortest life expectancies and Asian American populations had the longest. All U.S. groups saw declines in life expectancy during [the COVID-19 years we measured, 2020 and 2021], but the size of the declines really varied.

What would you like to see happen based on the study’s results?

I do not think there is one solution to this problem, but I would like to see much more attention given to why the United States is so far behind other high-income countries. Research points toward fundamental causes such as income, education, employment opportunities, and housing conditions. There is a little bit of risk in focusing on specific causes of death because it can obscure these society-wide features that are probably responsible.

—Sarah Muthler

(Study in The Lancet, December 2024)

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How political decisions affect public health https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/how-political-decisions-affect-public-health/ Fri, 07 Feb 2025 14:02:51 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23412 Politics influence people’s health in profound and often unexpected ways. A recent study reveals that conservative trifecta states—where Republicans control the governorship and have majorities in both branches of the…

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Politics influence people’s health in profound and often unexpected ways. A recent study reveals that conservative trifecta states—where Republicans control the governorship and have majorities in both branches of the state legislature—consistently experience poorer health outcomes, including higher premature mortality rates and lower vaccination coverage. Harvard Public Health spoke with Nancy Krieger, social epidemiology professor at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health and lead author of the study.

Why study this topic?

Public health is inherently political. Policies don’t just appear—they are enacted by legislators, implemented by state agencies, and influenced by political ideologies. Yet, political metrics like voting records and state trifectas are rarely used in public health research. I was motivated to investigate the political determinants of health through a fresh lens.

What did you find?

We analyzed over a decade of data and found consistent associations between political conservatism and poorer health outcomes. The strongest correlations came from metrics rarely used in public health—state trifectas and political ideologies of elected officials.

For example, premature mortality rates were significantly higher in Republican trifecta states, which had 55.4 more deaths per 100,000 person-years compared to Democratic trifectas in 2016. To capture the immediate effects of governance, we focused on outcomes for which the time period from exposure to the health event is very fast (such as getting vaccinated and getting, or losing, health insurance coverage) as opposed to health events that could take a long time to show up, such as getting and being diagnosed with cancer. Our findings underscore the tangible impact of political decisions on population health.

What would you like to see happen based on the study’s results?

This research highlights the need for evidence-based governance. Legislators, advocacy groups, and public health agencies must prioritize health equity when making policy decisions. These associations are not deterministic—they reflect practices that can change. Looking forward, we plan to investigate additional health outcomes and refine causal analysis methods. By making our data publicly available, we hope to encourage further research and informed policymaking.

Paul Adepoju

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The hidden brain injury risks of ice hockey https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/the-hidden-brain-risks-of-ice-hockey/ Fri, 07 Feb 2025 14:02:38 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23414 Ice hockey is fast, intense, and thrilling—and often hard-hitting. That means hockey players risk chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), a neurodegenerative disease linked to repetitive head impacts. CTE is most closely…

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Ice hockey is fast, intense, and thrilling—and often hard-hitting. That means hockey players risk chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), a neurodegenerative disease linked to repetitive head impacts. CTE is most closely associated with football, but in theory could happen in any contact sport. A new study has established a clear connection between years of ice hockey play and CTE. Harvard Public Health spoke with Jesse Mez, co-director of clinical research at Boston University’s CTE Center and the study’s coauthor.

Why study this topic?

Boston University has a brain bank for participants exposed to repetitive head impacts. The vast majority of donors have been American football players, but we’ve also collected brains from ice hockey players, rugby players, and others. While we saw a clear dose-response relationship (more exposure increases health consequences) in football players, it was only recently that we had enough data to analyze ice hockey. This study is crucial to understanding how risks apply across different sports.

What did you find?

What surprised me was how strong the relationship was. The odds of developing CTE increased by about 34 percent for each additional year of play. We also saw significant links between years of play and tau protein accumulation in the brain, which correlated with dementia and impaired daily function. While enforcers—players who fight more often—had higher risks, the overall takeaway is that years of play are the primary driver of CTE risk.

What would you like to see happen based on the study’s results?

I want people to understand that it’s not just about symptomatic concussions, it’s the accumulation of thousands of impacts over a career that increases risk. Policies that reduce impacts can make a big difference. I hope this study helps players and their families make informed decisions about their health while encouraging safer ways to play the sport.

Paul Adepoju

(Study in JAMA Network Open, December 2024)

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The neurological impact of being Black in the U.S. https://harvardpublichealth.org/equity/racism-may-have-a-significant-impact-on-neurological-health/ Thu, 30 Jan 2025 14:24:07 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?p=23326 A new theory about how racism may lead to faster aging

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In the crowded New York City train station, hundreds of other people rushed past me. I swiped my MetroCard and heard someone say, “Excuse me, sir.”

Two New York City police officers gestured for me to approach. “There’s someone in this station illegally selling MetroCard swipes,” one said, giving me a stern look. “Can I take a look at your card?” The officers studied my pass, glanced at each other, and studied my pass again. Finally, the second officer handed it back to me, saying, “You’re good to go.”

From the subway platform, I watched the officers to see who they would stop next. One person passed by uneventfully, then ten, then more. The reality of the situation set in: I had been profiled. All day, I asked myself, “Do I look like a criminal?”

My daily commute to school, once mindless, now became an exercise in hypervigilance. Each time I passed those turnstiles in the next weeks, I mentally replayed my encounter with the police officers. My heartbeat quickened and my muscles tensed. The experience lodged in my mind and body, long after the incident, a familiar phenomenon for people who experience discrimination.

Even when we’re not experiencing racial discrimination, past discrimination lives on in our minds, reminding us of what happened and preparing us for the future.

A growing body of research suggests that racial discrimination is associated with poorer health outcomes, such as higher risks of cardiovascular disease, inflammation, and poorer immune function. This discrimination is strongly linked to accelerated aging at a cellular level. However, we’re still learning exactly how racial discrimination causes these problems.

As a neuroscientist, I have been interested in how racism’s effects on the brain may play a role. All of us create mental representations of stressful events in the past and anticipate that these events will reoccur. This neurological process keeps the stressor alive in our minds. And this is how racial discrimination becomes a chronic stressor for many Black Americans. Even when we’re not experiencing racial discrimination, past discrimination lives on in our minds, reminding us of what happened and preparing us for the future.

These chronic mental representations can show up in the body by activating our endocrine, cardiovascular, and immune systems. This sustained activation, over time, can harm these systems, weathering them—which can accelerate the aging process and the earlier onset of age-related health conditions.

The premise behind research on factors that accelerate the aging process is that we possess two forms of age; chronological age, which is in relation related to our birthdate, and biological age, which is associated with age-related functioning of cells, tissues, and organ systems. With normal aging, we see a near-linear relationship between these two forms of age. As we get older, a gradual decline in the functioning of our body occurs and this decline precedes age-related health problems.

However, under conditions of chronic stress, the biological aging process begins to outpace that of chronological age. This mismatch in aging may then be a key factor in observing how two different individuals of the same chronological age have different health trajectories.

There have been several biological markers, considered the hallmarks of aging, that have been used to examine accelerated aging. One occurs when our DNA undergoes epigenetic modifications or changes in function that then influence cell and tissue function. These epigenetic changes have been consistently correlated with chronological aging. This led to the formation of epigenetic clocks that predict chronological age based on one’s epigenetic makeup. While these clocks proved to be highly accurate, they also illuminated that certain individuals’ biological ages were older than their current ages; a process known as accelerated epigenetic aging.

Racial discrimination research has examined epigenetic accelerated aging as a potential pathway linking racial discrimination and poorer health outcomes in Black individuals. Emerging evidence suggests that not only do Black Americans exhibit greater epigenetic accelerating aging compared to their White counterparts but greater exposure to racial discrimination is a key factor underlying accelerating aging. These findings have supported earlier work showing strong associations between racial discrimination and other age-related metrics such as inflammation and telomere length

Earlier research in my laboratory and others has shown that racial discrimination is associated with greater engagement and connectivity of brain areas associated with stress and emotion. To extend this research, I examined whether changes in brain activity would influence racial discrimination’s effects on accelerated aging.

We found that racial discrimination was associated with greater connectivity between the left locus coeruleus, a brain area critical to coordinating our attention to external or internal stimuli, and the precuneus, an area involved in recalling past personal events. This connectivity pattern, in turn, was linked to accelerated epigenetic aging. These findings proposed a pathway through the brain in which exposure to racial discrimination may affect the way our body ages.

This connectivity pattern provides neurobiological support for the idea that racial discrimination remains psychologically “alive” through greater engagement of brain areas that coordinate and focus attention to past experiences, and in doing so, affect the aging of the body. 

I believe our research points to the growing evidence highlighting the pervasive effects of racism on the health of Black people. Our nation has poor progress in improving race relations; studies highlight a critical need for measures that help protect Black people from the harmful effects of racism.

Programs that address implicit bias, which can lead to discriminatory behaviors, are one form of prevention. States like California and Massachusetts have created legislation mandating implicit bias training for health care providers. President Trump’s executive orders ending all diversity, equity, and inclusion polices and programs in the federal government—and threatening policies in the private sector—jeopardizes this progress. We’re still learning more about the connection between discrimination and the brain, but this we know: Reducing exposure to racism should be paramount in protecting the health of Black people.

Source image: Dusan Stankovic / iStock

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Cities, health, and the big data revolution https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/cities-health-and-the-big-data-revolution/ Wed, 29 Jan 2025 21:34:52 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23323 Cities influence our health in unexpected ways. From sidewalks to crosswalks, the built environment affects how much we move, impacting our risk for diseases like obesity and diabetes. A recent…

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Cities influence our health in unexpected ways. From sidewalks to crosswalks, the built environment affects how much we move, impacting our risk for diseases like obesity and diabetes. A recent New York City study underscores that focusing solely on infrastructure, without understanding how people use it, can lead to ineffective interventions. Researchers analyzed over two million Google Street View images, combining them with health and demographic data to reveal these dynamics. Harvard Public Health spoke with Rumi Chunara, director of New York University’s Center for Health Data Science and lead author of the study.

Why study this topic?

We’re seeing an explosion of new data sources, like street-view imagery, being used to make decisions. But there’s often a disconnect—people using these tools don’t always have the public health knowledge to interpret the data correctly. We wanted to highlight the importance of combining data science and domain expertise to ensure interventions are accurate and impactful.

What did you find?

We discovered that the relationship between built environment features and health outcomes isn’t straightforward. It’s not just about having sidewalks; it’s about how often people are using them. Improving physical activity levels in a community could have a far greater impact on health outcomes than simply adding more infrastructure.

It also revealed the importance of understanding the local context. For instance, Google Street View data sometimes misclassifies sidewalks, particularly near highways or bridges, leading to inaccurate conclusions. Relying solely on this data, without accounting for these nuances, could result in less effective interventions.

What should happen next?

I hope this research sparks conversations about integrating local context into data-driven decisions. By collaborating with urban planners, public health departments, and tech companies, we can ensure the data reflects reality and leads to more effective health interventions.

Paul Adepoju

(Study in PNAS, September 2024)

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Disparities in end-stage kidney disease survival https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/disparities-in-end-stage-kidney-disease-survival/ Thu, 23 Jan 2025 15:15:24 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23276 American Indians and Alaska Natives are nearly three times as likely as non-Hispanic Whites to get diabetes. And when they do, their diabetes is more likely to cause end-stage kidney…

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American Indians and Alaska Natives are nearly three times as likely as non-Hispanic Whites to get diabetes. And when they do, their diabetes is more likely to cause end-stage kidney disease than in the rest of the U.S. population. Researchers looked at how these patients fared over a decade. Brandon Varilek, a professor of nursing at the University of Nebraska, spoke to Harvard Public Health.

Why study this topic?

The purpose of this study was a survival analysis of people with end-stage kidney disease, when their kidneys are failing and they need dialysis.

What did you find?

I spent about two-and-a-half weeks on the Pine Ridge Reservation, working in the emergency room and also as a transplant coordinator. I see how challenging it is for them to get high-quality health care to keep their diabetes managed. Some of these people live five or six hours away from the transplant facility.

Compared to non-Hispanic white diabetes patients, American Indians and Alaska Natives survived longer on dialysis, with an 18.4 percent decrease in risk of death. But they are also diagnosed with end-stage disease much sooner. They progress rapidly through the stages of chronic kidney disease, coming to the emergency room because their kidneys are no longer working.

What would you like to see happen based on the results of the study?

Once they have diabetes, there’s not a lot of good follow-up. I’d like to get chronic kidney disease patients into doctor visits before they even get to the end-stage, whether it’s in a local clinic or a nephrology hospital unit. I would also love to see more discussions about advanced care and end-of-life planning.

Leah Samuel

(Study in Springer Nature, September 2024)

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How exposure to cannabis in the womb affects adolescent mental health https://harvardpublichealth.org/snapshots/cannabis-exposure-in-womb-may-lead-to-mental-health-issues/ Tue, 14 Jan 2025 20:06:25 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?post_type=snapshot&p=23173 The number of women who reported using cannabis while they were pregnant doubled between 2002 and 2017. Emerging research has found that children who have had prenatal exposure are more…

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The number of women who reported using cannabis while they were pregnant doubled between 2002 and 2017. Emerging research has found that children who have had prenatal exposure are more likely to struggle with mental health issues in adolescence. Harvard Public Health spoke with David Baranger, a neuroscientist and postdoc at Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri, who contributed to a new study that suggests why.

Why study this topic?

Adolescents who were exposed to cannabis in utero demonstrate a higher prevalence of mental health problems, including anxiety, depression, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. These findings underscore the importance of understanding how prenatal exposures can influence mental health outcomes later in life.

What did you find?

The study suggests that prenatal exposure to cannabis could disrupt normal brain development. These disruptions can lead to alterations in brain architecture—in regions associated with emotional regulation, attention, and impulse control—that appear as behavioral and psychological challenges during adolescence. For instance, significant changes were observed in the prefrontal cortex, which is critical for managing decision-making.

What would you like to see happen based on the results?

There is an urgent need for increased awareness about the risks of cannabis use during pregnancy. Public health campaigns and health care provider education could play crucial roles in encouraging expectant mothers to abstain from cannabis.

Skylar Rowley

(Study in Nature Mental Health, July 2024)

Have an idea for a Snapshot? Send it to magazine@hsph.harvard.edu.

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Mixed lessons from intentionally infecting people with COVID-19 https://harvardpublichealth.org/policy-practice/mixed-lessons-from-intentionally-infecting-people-with-covid-19/ Tue, 07 Jan 2025 19:44:17 +0000 https://harvardpublichealth.org/?p=23042 Challenge trials help researchers study immune responses. Skeptics still doubt the approach is worth the risks.

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This article was originally published by Undark.

When the COVID-19 pandemic first struck, Christopher Chiu and other researchers wondered: Should they inject healthy people with the virus that caused the pandemic?

The idea sounded counterintuitive, but by carefully dosing individuals with SARS-CoV-2 in a controlled setting—like Chiu had been doing for more than a decade with seasonal flu and RSV—scientists could study how the virus affects the body and learn what factors may offer protective benefits.

These types of studies, called human challenge trials, could help fast-track understanding the deadly virus devastating the world, experts claimed. Others, though, questioned whether the potential benefits were worth the risk, particularly given the host of unknowns surrounding Covid, and the lack of available treatments at the time.

After months of deliberation among doctors, scientists, ethicists, and regulators, the world’s first Covid human challenge study was ultimately born in early 2021. And Chiu, an infectious disease physician and immunologist at Imperial College London, was its chief investigator: “We sort of recognized that there were still lots of things we didn’t know about how the disease happens.”

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Early insights helped guide U.K. public policy on isolation times. Nearly four years later, more results are starting to emerge: One recent study published in eClinicalMedicine, one of the Lancet’s open-access journals, suggests individuals who got infected performed worse on cognitive tests than those who didn’t—a finding that may speak to long Covid and the cognitive effects of infection but which has received pushback from other experts. Another 2024 study points to a protein that might help protect against Covid. And the most recent study found that certain blood biomarkers may help researchers stratify patients for different treatments.

For Chiu, these studies were a success. And researchers continue to conduct challenge trials with the goal of developing better vaccines than the ones on the market and now want to expand trials to other countries.

Yet some skeptics argue none of these challenge trials were necessary, and that many of the findings could have been gleaned through other types of studies. The challenge trials, for instance, didn’t directly inform vaccine or treatment development, raising questions about whether these risks were justified.

“Did we really learn?” said Marc Veldhoen, an immunologist at the University of Lisbon and Gulbenkian Institute for Molecular Medicine. “Not so much.”

Human challenge trials have been going on in some form since the 1700s—and they’ve long been controversial. In recent decades, the trials have become more scientifically rigorous but have continued to spark ethical concerns surrounding potential risk and subject exploitation.

Still, they have persisted due to several key advantages.

For one, because researchers control the type of virus and dose, they’re able to better attribute cause to effects. “If a patient does something weird or has a unique response, you never know why that exactly is. Is it because of comorbidities? Is it because this person happened to have been exposed to a massive dose?” said Rik Lindeboom, an immunologist at the Netherlands Cancer Institute in Amsterdam. “With these challenge studies, you can really control for all of this and that makes them very, very unique.”

Scientists can also control the time of exposure, allowing them to pinpoint how long it takes for someone to become infectious and develop symptoms. Indeed, one of the first Covid challenge trial papers, published in 2022, found that individuals started to shed SARS-CoV-2 after just two days of infection and that they could remain contagious for another 10. Participants with a negative Covid test were not shedding virus, they also found.

At the time, this information had a direct impact on public health decision-making in the U.K., said Chiu, and led to the recommended isolation period of 10 days: “With this research, we were able to really clearly define when you could come out of self-isolation.” Other studies revealed that some people naturally shed large amounts of virus and that people’s bodies fight off infection by increasing an immune pathway called the interferon response, providing a potential target mechanism to help reduce transmission and disease.

More recently, challenge trials have given insight into a unique population that might otherwise not be studied: those who don’t get infected after exposure. In a Nature study published in June, Chiu and colleagues exposed 16 participants to SARS-CoV-2, yet only six developed a sustained infection. Then, Lindeboom studied the immune cells from these participants and found that the people who avoided infection all shared a high expression of a gene the researchers think could potentially protect against infection, said Lindeboom.

Meanwhile, the recent eClinicalMedicine study compared infected and uninfected participants on a set of cognitive tests. The 18 infected participants performed worse than the 16 who did not become infected, particularly in tests that measured memory and executive function. These changes persisted for at least a year, suggesting that the virus could have lasting effects on cognitive function.

That study, though, has received some criticism. Veldhoen, the immunologist in Lisbon, pointed out that the differences between the groups were variable and modest. “If you look at all the tests individually, I think there’s only one or two where there is indeed a difference—the difference is quite small,” said Veldhoen, noting that when it comes down to whether the work was necessary, he is “still not completely convinced.”

Indeed, not everyone agreed that the challenge trials were worth the risk. For example, U.S. institutions decided not to approve such trials, in part because, at the time, clinicians lacked an effective treatment for severe cases—typically a key consideration in conducting challenge trials. And while none of the studies conducted to-date have reported serious adverse events such as hospitalizations, some experts question whether more challenge trials are worth the gamble, particularly given the question marks surrounding long Covid.

The decision to infect someone with a pathogen needs to be outweighed by clear and obvious benefits, said Angela Huttner, an infectious disease physician at Geneva University Hospital. “If you’re going to sacrifice one person, it better be for the good of more than one person,” she said. Before the studies were conducted, she and others thought that Covid failed to meet those criteria. Now the lack of what they consider meaningful results confirms their worries.

Meanwhile, some experts say that challenge trials may not be necessary given the prevalence of Covid. In the United States, “we were able to conduct the huge Phase 3 trials with 30-40,000 participants per vaccine,” wrote Kirsten Lyke, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Maryland, in an email to Undark.

By comparison, challenge trial studies typically attract fewer than 100 subjects. The 2022 Nature study, for example, included just 36 young and healthy volunteers. Veldhoen noted that the small sample size limits the research’s statistical power and generalizability: “It’s super difficult to get the bigger picture from those studies,” he said. Huttner agrees: “You can glean some information, but it may be clinically very limited.”

The findings also did not result in a new vaccine or treatment, as some experts have pointed out. “I’m not convinced that COVID-19 human challenge models turned out to be critical to the effort to develop biologics, vaccines and therapeutics,” Lyke wrote in her email.

Chiu, meanwhile, argues that although current vaccines effectively prevent serious disease and death, they are subpar in stopping the spread. Challenge trials, he said, can help develop better vaccines.

In fact, Chiu leads a new initiative that intends to do just that: The Mucosal Immunity in Human Coronavirus Challenge, or MusiCC, project has received $57 million to develop experimental vaccines to block transmission. The global consortium also aims to increase the capacity to conduct challenge trials worldwide, Chiu said.

Chiu and a group of collaborators at the University of Oxford led by Helen McShane, an infectious disease physician, are also now recruiting for their next challenge trial in which they will infect participants with the Omicron strain. Meanwhile, another research group in Singapore is currently recruiting for a study on the Delta variant.

While some experts have dismissed insights gleaned from the last few years of challenge trials—“We haven’t learned something that we wouldn’t have gotten in another way,” said Veldhoen—justification for the trials looks different for Chiu.

“It is subjective how much you think scientific findings are worth and their value and their potential impact for the future. So, again, it’s always a conversation to be had, and I would never sort of stop people from criticizing,” he said. “Each new study is a new discussion, and you have to weigh things up again.”

Illustration: RLT_Images / iStock

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